Rising Pacific Ocean temperatures have activated El Niño conditions, prompting SUPARCO to warn of potential impacts on Pakistan’s monsoon, winter temperatures, agriculture, and water resources.
Pakistan may face significant weather changes in the coming months after El Niño became active due to warming sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, prompting an official alert from the Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO).
According to SUPARCO, above-normal temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean have triggered El Niño conditions, a global climate phenomenon known for influencing weather patterns across multiple regions. The agency warned that the development could alter seasonal weather behavior in Pakistan and neighboring countries.
The alert comes as the ongoing monsoon system in Sindh has intensified and evolved into a deep depression. However, despite current weather activity, SUPARCO indicated that Pakistan’s overall monsoon season may remain weaker than normal, with below-average rainfall expected in several areas.
The agency also forecast warmer-than-usual winter conditions, suggesting temperatures could stay above seasonal averages during the colder months. In addition, the likelihood of heatwaves may increase during the next spring and summer seasons, potentially resulting in more frequent and intense periods of extreme heat.
SUPARCO noted that changing weather patterns could place additional pressure on agriculture and water resources. Reduced rainfall and higher temperatures may affect crop yields and water availability, creating challenges for farmers and policymakers.
Globally, El Niño is expected to produce uneven impacts. Drought conditions could affect Southeast Asia, Australia, India, and parts of Africa, while South America and eastern Africa may experience heavier-than-normal rainfall.
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