A classified intelligence assessment in the United States has concluded that even large scale military attacks are unlikely to remove the current government in Iran. According to a report published by The Washington Post the confidential analysis warns that extensive military operations would probably fail to eliminate Iran’s political and military leadership.

The report was prepared by senior analysts from the National Intelligence Council, a key body responsible for producing strategic intelligence assessments for U.S. policymakers. The council compiles its findings using shared intelligence from the country’s 18 intelligence agencies, providing comprehensive evaluations of global security issues.

According to the newspaper, the assessment was completed about a week before recent military strikes involving Israel and the United States against Iranian targets. Analysts reportedly concluded that Iran’s political structure and military command system are resilient enough to withstand even significant military pressure.

The report surfaced at a time when Donald Trump and members of his administration have signaled the possibility of a prolonged military campaign against Iran. Officials have suggested that the current operations could be only the beginning of broader actions.

Experts say the findings highlight the limitations of military solutions and underscore the complexity of attempting to bring about regime change in Iran through force alone.