US-Iran Deal Shocks Oil Markets as Key Export Waivers Trigger Sudden Price Slide

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Global oil prices declined sharply after the United States and Iran concluded talks in Switzerland, with Tehran securing export waivers that could significantly boost crude supplies and ease market concerns.

Global oil markets witnessed a sharp decline on Monday after a major diplomatic breakthrough between the United States and Iran eased concerns over potential supply disruptions. The development came after high-level negotiations in Switzerland concluded with Tehran securing waivers for its oil and petrochemical exports, a move that could bring substantial volumes of crude back to international markets.

Brent crude dropped $1.68, or 2.09%, to $78.89 per barrel after initially surging to $82.30 during the early stages of the talks. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also moved lower, with the August contract falling to $75.16 per barrel as traders reassessed supply risks.

Market sentiment shifted rapidly following reports that US and Iranian officials had completed their first formal round of talks under a recently agreed framework aimed at extending a ceasefire arrangement. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi announced that Tehran had secured waivers allowing continued oil and petrochemical exports, alongside the release of frozen assets and support for reconstruction efforts.

Analysts said the agreement could pave the way for nearly 1.5 million barrels of Iranian crude per day to return to global markets, increasing supply at a time when demand growth remains relatively moderate.

Despite the positive development, regional tensions continue to create uncertainty. Concerns remain over the security of the Strait of Hormuz and the broader Middle East situation following recent military activity in Lebanon and ongoing geopolitical risks.

Meanwhile, major producers including the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Iraq have also increased output, adding further pressure on oil prices. Iraq is reportedly preparing to raise production to between 4.2 million and 4.3 million barrels per day.

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